Financial Cyberthreats in 2019 | Securelist – 10 minute mail


Financial cyberthreats are malicious programs that target users of services such as online banking, e-money, and cryptocurrency, or that attempt to gain access to financial organizations and their infrastructure. These threats are usually accompanied by spam and phishing activities, with malicious users creating fake financial-themed pages and emails to steal victims’ credentials.

In order to study the threat landscape of the financial sector, our researchers analyzed malicious activity on the devices of individual users of Kaspersky’s security solutions. Statistics for corporate users were collected from corporate security solutions, after the customers agreed to share their data with Kaspersky.

The information obtained was compared with data for the same period in 2018 to monitor the trends in malware development.

Introduction and key findings

In 2019, we witnessed a number of significant changes in the cyberthreat landscape. Cybercriminals started to lose interest in malicious cryptocurrency mining and turned their attention to the broader topic of digital trust and privacy issues.

How did all those changes affect financial security around the world? As our report for the first half of 2019 demonstrated, there is no room for complacency – cyberthreats that aim to steal money are still out there.

Although the financial industry did not witness any major cases in 2019, the statistics show that particular categories of users and businesses are still being targeted by criminals. We have prepared this report to provide a more detailed picture of the situation.

This publication continues our series of Kaspersky reports (see here, here, and here) providing an overview of how the financial threat landscape has evolved over the years. It covers the common phishing threats that users encounter, along with Windows-based and Android-based financial malware.


  • In 2019, the share of financial phishing increased from 44.7% of all phishing detections to 51.4%.
  • Almost every third attempt to visit a phishing page blocked by Kaspersky products is related to banking phishing (27% share).
  • The share of phishing-related attacks on payment systems and online stores accounted for almost 17% and over 7.5% respectively in 2019. This is more or less the same as 2018 levels.
  • The share of financial phishing encountered by Mac users fell slightly from 57.6%, accounting for 54%.

Banking malware (Windows):

  • In 2019, the number of users attacked with banking Trojans was 773,943 – a decrease compared to the 889,452 attacked in 2018.
  • 1% of users attacked with banking malware were corporate users – an increase from 24.1% in 2018.
  • Users in Russia, Germany, and China were attacked most frequently by banking malware.
  • Just four banking malware (ZBot, RTM, Emotet, CliptoShuffler) families accounted for attacks on the vast majority of users (around 87%).

Android banking malware:

  • In 2019, the number of users that encountered Android banking malware dropped to just over 675,000 from around 1.8 million.
  • Russia, South Africa, and Australia were the countries with the highest percentage of users attacked by Android banking malware.

Financial phishing

Financial phishing is one of the most popular ways for criminals to make money. It doesn’t require a lot of investment but if the criminals get the victim’s credentials, they can either be used to steal money or sold.

As our telemetry systems show, this type of activity has accounted for around half of all phishing attacks on Windows users in recent years.

The percentage of financial phishing attacks (from overall phishing attacks) detected by Kaspersky, 2014-2019 (download)

In 2019, the overall number of phishing detections stood at 467,188,119. 51.4% of those were finance-related attacks. That is the second-highest share ever registered by Kaspersky; the highest proportion of financial phishing was 53.8% in 2017.

The distribution of different types of financial phishing detected by Kaspersky in 2019 (download)

Compared to the previous year, bank-related phishing grew from a share of 21.7% to almost 30% in 2019. The other two main finance categories remained more or less at the same level.

Financial phishing on Mac

As is now customary, we also compare the above statistics with those for MacOS: while the latter has traditionally been considered a relatively secure platform when it comes to cybersecurity, nobody knows where the latest threats may strike. Moreover, phishing is an OS-agnostic activity – it is all about social engineering.

In 2018, 57.6% of phishing attacks against Mac users attempted to steal financial data. A third of those were bank-related attacks. In 2019, the overall level was slightly less – just over 54%.

In 2019, the breakdown of categories was as follows:

The distribution of different types of financial phishing detected by Kaspersky on Macs in 2019 (download)

The share of bank phishing actually grew by around 6% compared to 2018. At the same, the E-shop category’s share dropped from around 18% to around 8%. The Payment systems category remained more or less unchanged. Overall, our data shows that the financial share of phishing attacks on Macs is also quite substantial – like that for Windows. Let’s take a closer look at both categories.

Mac vs Windows

In 2017, we discovered an interesting twist when Apple became the most frequently used brand name in the online shopping category both in the MacOS and Windows statistics, pushing Amazon down to second place for the latter platform. Even more interesting is that in 2018 Apple maintained its position in the Windows statistics, but Amazon led the MacOS statistics for the first time since we started tracking this activity. In 2019, the situation was as follows:

  Mac Windows
1 Apple Apple
2 Online Shopping Online Shopping
3 eBay eBay
4 groupon Steam
5 Steam Americanas
6 ASOS groupon
7 Americanas MercadoLibre
8 Shopify Alibaba Group
9 Alibaba Group Allegro

The most frequently used brands in the E-shop category of financial phishing activity, 2019

What is most interesting in the table above is that the top three places appear to be OS agnostic and are the same for both Mac and Windows.

When it comes to attacks on users of payment systems, the situation is as follows:

  Mac Windows
1 PayPal Visa Inc.
2 MasterCard International PayPal
3 American Express MasterCard International
4 Visa Inc. American Express
5 Authorize.Net Cielo S.A.
6 Stripe Stripe
7 Cielo S.A. Authorize.Net
8 adyen payment system adyen payment system
9 Neteller Alipay

The most frequently used brands in the Payment systems category of financial phishing activity, 2019

The data above can be viewed as a warning to users of the corresponding systems: they illustrate to what extent malicious users exploit these well-known names to fraudulently obtain payment card details as well as online banking and payment system credentials.

Phishing campaign themes

The list of 2019 phishing campaigns covered below includes the usual suspects: fake versions of online banking and payment systems or web pages mimicking internet stores.

A phishing page masquerading as a payment service

 Phishing pages masquerading as payment service pages

Phishing pages masquerading as an e-store pages

Of course, by clicking a link or entering credentials on pages like these, a user will not be accessing their account – they will be passing on important personal information to the fraudsters.

Some of the most common scams used to trick users include messages that refer to the hacking or blocking of an account or offers of incredible bargains.

Banking malware on PCs

For clarity, when discussing financial malware in this paper we mean typical banking Trojans designed to steal the credentials used to access online banking or payment system accounts and to intercept one-time passwords. Kaspersky has been monitoring this particular type of malware for a number of years:

The number of users attacked with banking malware, 2016-2018 (download)

As we can see, throughout 2016 there was a steady growth in the number of users attacked with bankers – following downward trends in 2014 and 2015. 2017 and the first half of 2018 saw a return to a downward trend. The number of attacked users worldwide fell from 1,088,933 in 2016 to 767,072 in 2017 – a decline of almost 30%.

Below are the figures for 2019.

The number of users attacked with banking malware 2019 (download)

In 2019, the number of users attacked with banking Trojans stood at 773,943 – a slight decrease compared to 889,452 in 2018.

The geography of attacked users

As shown in the charts below, more than half of all users attacked with banking malware in 2018 and 2019 were located in just 10 countries.

The geographic distribution of users attacked with banking malware in 2018 (download)

The geographic distribution of users attacked with banking malware in 2019 (download)

In 2019, Russia’s share increased and accounted for over one-third of attacks. Germany remained in second place, while China ended the year in third place.

The type of users attacked

It is also interesting to look at the consumer/corporate split in victimology.

The distribution of attacked users by type in 2018-2019 (download)

The main actors and developments

For years, the banking malware landscape has been dominated by several major players.

The distribution of the most widespread banking malware families in 2018 (download)

In 2018, we saw the major players decreasing their attacks – Zbot fell to 26.4% and Gozi to a little over 20%.  2019 produced the following situation.

The distribution of the most widespread banking malware families in 2019 (download)

Zbot is still the most widespread malware, while second and the third places are occupied by RTM and Emotet. Gozi dropped out of the top three, ending the year in sixth place.

Mobile banking malware

In 2018, we reviewed the methodology behind the mobile section of this report. We had previously analyzed Android banking malware statistics using KSN data sent by the Kaspersky Internet Security for Android solution. But as Kaspersky developed new mobile security solutions and technologies, the statistics gathered from one product alone became less relevant. That is why we decided to shift to expanded data, gathered from multiple mobile solutions. The data for 2016 and 2017 in this report was recalculated using the new methodology.

The change in the number of users attacked with Android banking malware, 2016-2019 (download)

In 2019 the number of users that encountered Android banking malware dropped to 675,000 from around 1.8 million in 2018.

To get a clearer picture of what is behind these dramatic changes we took a closer look at the landscape and reviewed the most widespread families across the year. In 2018, the situation was as follows:

The most widespread Android banking malware in 2018 (download)

Asacub’s share more than doubled YoY to almost 60%, followed by Agent (14.28%) and Svpeng (13.31%). All three experienced explosive growth in 2018, especially Asacub as it peaked from 146,532 attacked users in 2017 to 1,125,258.

The most widespread Android banking malware in 2019 (download)

In 2019, there was almost no change among the most widespread families. The Asacub family was the only exception – it conceded some of its share to its nearest competitors. However, it still accounted for almost half of all attacks.

Geography of attacked users

In previous reports, we calculated the distribution of users attacked with Android banking Trojans by comparing the overall number of unique users attacked by this type of malware with the overall number of users in a region. There was always one problem – the majority of detections in Russia traditionally came from this malicious software due to the prevalence of SMS banking in the region, which allowed attackers to steal money with a simple text message if an infection was successful. Previously, the same was true for SMS Trojans, but after regulative measures, criminals found a new way to capitalize on victims in Russia.

In 2018, we decided to change the methodology and replaced the overall number of attacked unique users with the share of unique users that faced this threat from the overall number of users registered in the respective region.

The picture for 2018 was as follows:

Percentage of Android users who encountered banking malware by country, 2018 (download)

The top 10 countries with the highest percentage of users that encountered Android banking malware in 2018:

Russia 2.32%
South Africa 1.27%
US 0.82%
Australia 0.71%
Armenia 0.51%
Poland 0.46%
Moldova 0.44%
Kyrgyzstan 0.43%
Azerbaijan 0.43%
Georgia 0.42%

In 2019 it changed to:

Percentage of Android users who encountered banking malware by country, 2019 (download)

The top 10 countries with the highest percentage of users that encountered Android banking malware in 2019:

Russian Federation 0.72%
South Africa 0.66%
Australia 0.59%
Spain 0.29%
Tajikistan 0.21%
Turkey 0.20%
US 0.18%
Italy 0.17%
Ukraine 0.17%
Armenia 0.16%

Australia replaced the US in the top three. Also of interest is the fact that the average percentage fell for all countries – sometimes 2-digit decrease can be seen.

Major changes to the Android banking malware landscape

While the figures tell their own story, there are many more ways to explore the changes and developments in the threat landscape. Our key method is the analysis of actual malware found in the wild.

As this analysis shows, 2019 was a relatively stable year when it comes to malicious mobile software. One point of interest, however, may be a new technique that we recently observed with Ginp and Cerberus Trojans.

At the very beginning of 2020, we found a new version of the Ginp banking Trojan that was first discovered by a Kaspersky analyst in 2019. Apart from the standard functions of an Android banker – the ability to intercept and send text messages, and perform window overlays – the new version involves a highly unconventional function to insert fake text messages in the inbox of a standard SMS app.

These messages are made to look like notifications from reputable app vendors informing users about an undesirable event (blocked account access, for example). In order to resolve the issue, the user is requested to open the application. Once the victim does that, the Trojan overlays the original window and asks the user to enter their credit card or bank account details, which then end up in the hands of cybercriminals.

We subsequently detected a rise in a technique used by the infamous Cerberus banker on Android devices. This malware increasingly produces fake push notifications to users on behalf of several banking applications. The detected messages urge Polish-speaking targets to open applications and check their cards and bank accounts by entering their login credentials. This technique is on the rise with more fake notifications being produced on behalf of more and more banking applications.

Conclusion and advice

2019 has demonstrated that cybercriminals continue to update their malware with new features, investing resources in new distribution methods and techniques to avoid detection. The increase in banking Trojan activity targeting corporate users is also of concern as such attacks could bring more problems than attacks on ordinary users.

This all means that malicious users are still gaining financially from their activities.

As the above threat data shows, there is still plenty of motivation for financial fraud operations involving phishing and specialized banking malware. At the same time, mobile malware regained its ability to jeopardize users across the world.

To avoid losing money as a result of a cyberattack, Kaspersky experts advise the following.

To protect against financial threats, Kaspersky recommends that users:

  • Only install applications from trusted sources such as official stores;
  • Check what access rights and permissions the application requests – if they do not correspond to what the program is designed to do, then it should be questioned;
  • Do not follow links in spam messages and do not open documents attached to them;
  • Install a reliable security solution – such as Kaspersky Security Cloud – that protects against a wide range of threats. The service also incorporates the Permission Checker feature for Android that allows users to see which applications have access to a device’s camera, microphone, location and other private information and restrict them if necessary.

To protect your business from financial malware, Kaspersky security specialists recommend:

  • Introducing cybersecurity awareness training for your employees, particularly those who are responsible for accounting, to teach them how to distinguish phishing attacks: do not open attachments or click on links from unknown or suspicious addresses;
  • Explaining to users the risk of installing programs from unknown sources. For critical user profiles, such as those in financial departments, switch on default-deny mode for web resources to ensure they can only access legitimate sites;
  • Installing the latest updates and patches for all the software you use;
  • Enabling protection at the level of internet gateways as it shields from many financial and other threats even before they reach employee endpoints. Kaspersky Security for Internet Gateways protects all devices in the corporate network from phishing, banking Trojans and other malicious payloads;
  • Using mobile protection solutions or corporate internet traffic protection to ensure employee devices are not exposed to financial and other threats. The latter helps protect even those devices for which antivirus is unavailable;
  • Implementing an EDR solution such as Kaspersky Endpoint Detection and Response for endpoint level detection, investigation and timely remediation of incidents. It can even catch unknown banking malware;
  • Integrating Threat Intelligence into your SIEM and security controls in order to access the most relevant and up-to-date threat data.

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Cyberthreats to financial institutions 2020: Overview and predictions – 10 minute mail

Key events 2019

  • Large-scale anti-fraud bypass: Genesis digital fingerprints market uncovered
  • Multi-factor authentication (MFA) and biometric challenges
  • Targeted attack groups specializing in financial institutions: splitting and globalization
  • ATM malware becomes more targeted
  • Card info theft and reuse: magecarting everywhere and battle of POS malware families in Latin America

Large-scale anti-fraud bypass: Genesis digital fingerprints market uncovered

During the last few years, cybercriminals have invested a lot in methods to bypass anti-fraud systems, because now it’s not enough just to steal the login, password and PII – they now need a digital fingerprint to bypass anti-fraud systems in order to extract money from the bank. During 2019, we identified a huge underground market called Genesis, which sells digital fingerprints of online banking users from around the globe.

From an anti-fraud system perspective, the user’s digital identity is a digital fingerprint – a combination of system attributes that are unique to each device, and the personal behavioral attributes of the user. It includes the IP address (external and local), screen information (screen resolution, window size), firmware version, operating system version, browser plugins installed, time zone, device ID, battery information, fonts, etc. The device may have over 100 attributes used for browsing. The second part of a digital identity is the behavioral analysis.

As criminals are continuously looking for ways to defeat anti-fraud safeguards, they try to substitute the system’s real fingerprint with a fake one, or with existing ones stolen from someone else’s PC.

The Genesis Store is an online invitation-only private cybercriminal market for stolen digital fingerprints. At the time of our research, it offered more than 60 thousand stolen bot profiles. The profiles include browser fingerprints, website user logins and passwords, cookies, credit card information, etc. By uploading this fingerprint to the Tenebris Linken Sphere browser, criminals are able to masquerade as legitimate online banking users from any region, country, state, city, etc.

This type of attack shows that criminals have in-depth knowledge of how internal banking systems work and it’s a real challenge to protect against such attacks. The best option is to always use multi-factor authentication.

Multi-factor authentication (MFA) and biometric challenges

MFA is a challenge for cybercriminals. When MFA is used, they have to come up with techniques to bypass it. The most common methods used during the last year were:

  • Exploiting vulnerabilities and flaws in the configuration of the system. For example, criminals were able to find and exploit several flaws in remote banking systems to bypass OTPs (one time passcodes);
  • Using social engineering, a common method among Russian-speaking cybercriminals and in APAC region;
  • SIM swapping, which is especially popular in regions like Latin America and Africa. In fact, despite SMS no longer being considered a secure 2FA, low operational costs mean it’s the most popular method used by providers.

In theory, biometrics should solve a lot of problems associated with two-factor authentication, but practice has shown that it may not be so simple. Over the past year, several cases have been identified that indicate biometrics technology is still far from perfect.

Firstly, there are quite a few implementation problems. For example, Google Pixel 4 does not check if your eyes are open during the unlocking process using facial characteristics. Another example is the possibility of bypassing fingerprint authentication using the sensor under the screen on smartphones made by various manufacturers, including popular brands such as Samsung.

There is another trick that has been exploited in Latin America: a visual capturing attack. Cybercriminals installed rogue CCTV cameras and used them to record the PINs people used to unlock their phones. Such a simple technique is still very effective for both types of victims: those who use biometrics and those who prefer PINs to fingerprints or facial recognition. This is because, when a device is dusty or greasy (and the same applies to a user’s fingers), the best way to unlock a phone is to use a PIN.

Secondly, there were several high-profile leaks of biometric databases. The most notorious was the leak of the Biostar 2 database that included the biometric data of over 1 million people. The company stored unencrypted data, including names, passwords, home addresses, email addresses and, most importantly, unencrypted biometric data that included fingerprints and facial recognition patterns as well as the actual photos of faces. A similar leak occurred at a US Customs and Border Patrol contractor, where biometric information of over 100,000 people was leaked.

There have already been several proof-of-concept attacks that use biometric data to bypass security controls, but those attacks could still be countered with system updates. With these latest leaks, on the other hand, this won’t work because your biometric data cannot be changed – it stays with you forever.

The cases mentioned above, combined with the high-quality research carried out by cybercriminals to obtain a complete digital fingerprint of a user in order to bypass anti-fraud systems, suggest that relying solely on biometric data will not solve the current problems. Today’s implementations need a lot of effort and more research to make them truly secure.

Targeted attack groups specializing in financial institutions: splitting and globalization


In 2018, Europol and the US Department of Justice announced the arrest of the leader of the FIN7 and Carbanak/CobaltGoblin cybercrime groups. Some believed that the arrest would have an impact on the group’s operations, but this does not seem to have been the case. In fact, the number of groups operating under the umbrella of CobaltGoblin and FIN7 has grown: there are several interconnected groups using very similar toolkits and the same infrastructure to conduct their cyberattacks.

The first operating under this umbrella is the now-notorious FIN7 that specializes in attacking various companies to get access to financial data or their PoS infrastructure. It relies on the Griffon JScript backdoor and Cobalt/Meterpreter and, in more recent attacks, PowerShell Empire.

The second is CobaltGoblin/Carbanak/EmpireMonkey. It uses the same toolkit, techniques and a similar infrastructure, but targets only financial institutions and associated software and service providers.

The final group is the newly discovered CopyPaste group, which has targeted financial entities and companies in one African country – leading us to believe that this group is associated with cyber-mercenaries or a training center. The links between CopyPaste and FIN7 are still very weak. It’s possible that the operators of this cluster of activity were influenced by open-source publications and don’t actually have any ties to FIN7.

All of these groups benefit greatly from unpatched systems in corporate environments and continue to use effective spear-phishing campaigns in conjunction with well-known Microsoft Office exploits generated by their exploitation framework. So far, the groups have not used any zero-day exploits. FIN7/Cobalt phishing documents may seem basic, but when combined with their extensive social engineering and focused targeting, they have proved to be quite successful.

In the middle of 2019, FIN7 fell silent, but returned at the end of the year with new attacks and new tools. We suspect that the silent period is connected to their infrastructure shutdown that occurred after closing a bulletproof hosting company in Eastern Europe.

In contrast to FIN7, the activity of the Cobalt Goblin Group was stable throughout the year, which once again proves that these groups are connected, but operate on their own: their toolsets and TTPs are very similar, but operate independently; and only occasionally can we spot overlaps in infrastructure. At the same time, the intensity of attacks is slightly lower than in 2018. Cobalt Goblin’s tactics have remained the same: they use documents with exploits that first load a small downloader and then a Cobalt beacon. The main targets also remain the same: small banks in a variety of countries. Perhaps we have detected a lower number of attacks due to diversification, because some indicators suggest the group could also be engaging in JS sniffing (MageCarting) in order to obtain data about payment cards directly from websites.

JS sniffing was extremely popular throughout the year and we found thousands of e-commerce websites infected with these scripts. The injected scripts act in different ways and the infrastructure of the attackers is very different, which suggests that this type of fraud is used by at least a dozen cybercrime groups.

The Silence group actively expanded its operations into different countries throughout the year. We detected attacks in regions where we have never seen them before. For example, we recorded attacks in Southeast Asia and Latin America. This indicates that they have either expanded their operations themselves or started cooperating with other regionally installed cybercrime groups. However, when we look at the development of their main backdoor, we see that their technologies have barely changed over the last two years.

ATM malware becomes more targeted

When it came to ATM malware, we discovered a number of completely new families in 2019. The most notable were ATMJadi and ATMDtrack.

ATMJadi is an interesting one because it doesn’t use the standard XFS, JXFS or CSC libraries. Instead, it uses the victim bank’s ATM software Java proprietary classes: meaning the malware will only work on a small subset of ATMs. It makes this malware very targeted (towards one specific bank).

This is reminiscent of the FASTcach case from 2018, when criminals targeted servers running AIX OS. With a decrease in the number of general-purpose cashout tools, we can say that ATM malware is becoming rarer and more targeted.

Another interesting piece of malware is ATMDtrack, which was first detected in financial institutions in India and is programmed to cash out ATMs. Using the Kaspersky Targeted Attack Attribution Engine (KTAE), we were able to attribute these attacks to the Lazarus group, which supports our prediction from 2018 that there will be “more nation-state sponsored attacks against financial organizations“. Moreover, similar spyware has been found in research centers, with Lazarus APT group using almost identical tools to steal research results from scientific institutes.

Card info theft and reuse

During the year we saw a lot of malware targeting end users and businesses looking for credit card data. In Brazil, in particular, we saw a couple of malware families fighting it out between themselves to maintain control of infected devices. HydraPOS and ShieldPOS were very active during the year, with new versions that included a lot of new targets; Prilex, meanwhile, reduced its activities in the second half of the year.

ShieldPOS has been active since at least 2017 and, after being malware only, it has finally evolved into a MaaS (malware-as-a-service). This fact shows there’s great interest from Latin American cybercriminals in running their own “business” to steal credit cards. HydraPOS has been mostly focused on stealing money from POS systems in restaurants, parking slot machines and different retail stores.

Compared to ShieldPOS, HydraPOS is an older campaign from an actor we named Maggler, which has been in the credit card business since at least 2016. The main difference is that, unlike ShieldPOS, it doesn’t work as MaaS. In both cases, we suspect that the initial infection vector is a carefully prepared social engineering campaign involving telephone calls to the victims.

Analysis of forecasts for 2019

Before giving our forecasts for 2020, let’s see how accurate our forecasts for 2019 turned out to be:

The emergence of new groups due to the fragmentation of Cobalt/Carbanak and FIN7: new groups and new geography.

  • Yes, we saw CobaltGoblin activity, FIN7 activity, CopyPaste activity and the intersection of IoCs and the Silence group.

The first attacks through the theft and use of biometric data.

  • Yes, hacking of various biometric data databases regularly appeared throughout the year. We also revealed a digital fingerprint market where criminals can buy digital fingerprints, which includes, among other things, behavioral data (component of biometrics).

The emergence of new local groups attacking financial institutions in the Indo-Pakistan region, Southeast Asia and Central Europe.

  • No. It turned out that well-known groups such as Lazarus, Silence and CobaltGoblin took their place and very actively attacked financial institutions in these regions.

Continuation of supply-chain attacks: attacks on small companies that provide their services to financial institutions around the world.

Traditional cybercrime will focus on the easiest targets and bypass anti-fraud solutions: replacement of POS attacks with attacks on systems accepting online payments (Magecarting/JS skimming).

  • Yes, the number of groups that started carrying out attacks on online payment systems grew constantly over the year. We detected thousands of websites that were affected by JS skimming.

The cybersecurity systems of financial institutions will be bypassed using physical devices connected to the internal network.

  • Yes, and not only in financial institutions but even the aerospace industry, namely NASA, has suffered from this type of attack.

Attacks on mobile banking for business users.

Advanced social engineering campaigns targeting operators, secretaries and other internal employees in charge of wire transfers.

  • Yes, BEC (business email compromise) attacks have been on the rise worldwide. We have seen major attacks in Japan, while there have also been campaigns in South America, particularly in Ecuador.
  • Additionally, advanced social attacks have been actively used in Brazil to make POS operators go to a malicious website to download specially crafted remote control modules and run them, for example, in HydraPOS attacks.

Forecast 2020

Attacks against Libra and TON/Gram

The successful launch of cryptocurrencies such as Libra and Gram might lead to the worldwide spread of this type of asset, which naturally will attract the attention of criminals. Given the serious surge in cybercriminal activity during the rapid growth of Bitcoin and altcoins in 2018, we predict that a similar situation will most likely unfold around Gram and Libra. Large players in this market should be especially careful, as there are a number of APT groups, such as WildNeutron and Lazarus, whose interests include crypto assets. They are very likely to exploit these developments.

Reselling bank access

During 2019, we witnessed cases where groups who specialize in targeted attacks on financial institutions appeared in the victims’ networks after intrusions by other groups that specialize in selling rdp/vnc access, such as FXMSP and TA505. These facts are also confirmed by underground forums and chat monitoring.

In 2020, we expect an increase in the activity of groups specializing in the sale of network access in the African and Asian regions, as well as in Eastern Europe. Their prime targets are small banks, as well as financial organizations recently bought by big players who are rebuilding their cybersecurity system in accordance with the standards of their parent companies.

Ransomware attacks against banks

This forecast logically follows from the previous one. As mentioned above, small financial institutions often become the victims of opportunistic cybercriminals. If these criminals cannot resell access, or even if it becomes less likely that they will be able to withdraw money, then the most logical monetization of such access is ransomware. Banks are among those organizations that are more likely to pay a ransom than accept the loss of data, so we expect the number of such targeted ransomware attacks to continue to rise in 2020.

Another ransomware attack vector against small and medium financial institutions will be a “pay-per-install” scheme. Traditional botnets will eventually turn into increasingly popular delivery mechanisms against those financial institutions.

2020: the return of custom tooling

Measures taken by antivirus products to effectively detect open source tools used for pen testing purposes, and the adoption of the latest cyberdefense technologies, will push cybercrime actors to return to custom tooling in 2020 and also invest in new Trojans and exploits.

Global expansion of mobile banking Trojans: result of leaked source

Our research and monitoring of underground forums suggests that the source code of some popular mobile banking Trojans was leaked into the public domain. Given the popularity of such Trojans, we expect a repeat of the situation when the source code of ZeuS and SpyEye Trojans were leaked: the number of attempts to attack users will increase at times, and the geography of attacks will expand to almost every country in the world.

Investment apps on the rise: new target for criminals

Mobile investment apps are becoming more popular among users around the globe. This trend won’t go unnoticed by cybercriminals in 2020. Given the popularity of some fintech companies and exchanges (for both real and virtual money), cybercriminals will realize that not all of them are prepared to deal with massive cyberattacks, as some apps still lack basic protection for customer accounts, and do not offer two-factor authentication or certificate pinning to protect app communication. Several governments are deregulating this area and new players are appearing every day, becoming popular very quickly. In fact, we have already seen attempts by cybercriminals to substitute the interfaces of these apps with their own malicious versions.

Magecarting 3.0: even more attacker groups and cloud apps to become prime targets

Over the past couple of years, JS skimming has gained immense popularity among attackers. Unfortunately, cybercriminals now have a huge attack surface that consists of vulnerable e-commerce websites and extremely cheap JS skimmer tools available for sale on various forums, starting at $200. At the moment we are able to distinguish at least 10 different actors involved in these types of attacks and we believe that their number will continue to grow during the next year. The most dangerous attacks will be on companies that provide services such as e-commerce as a service, which will lead to the compromise of thousands of companies.

Political instability leading to the spread of cybercrime in specific regions

Some countries are experiencing political and social upheaval, resulting in masses of people seeking refugee status in other countries. These waves of immigration include all sorts of people, including cybercriminals. This phenomenon will result in the spread of geographically localized attacks in countries that have not previously been affected by them.

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